CS17486321
0xebb45bae829b005bdc167287ed950d85bc1d8e4c
- Realised P&L
- $-7.61
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $1.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.93at 0.720US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
- +$0.65at 0.950Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before March 15?
- +$0.56at 0.960Will Club Brugge or Aston Villa advance in the UCL Round of 16?
- +$0.55at 0.945Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?
- +$0.43at 0.850Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 13:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.51 | $36.21 |
| 06-24 23:34 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $26.70 |
| 06-24 16:37 | Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.95 |
| 06-23 19:01 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $32.20 |
| 06-23 16:54 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $32.85 |
| 06-23 14:52 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 06-22 20:38 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.16 | $6.08 |
| 06-21 05:37 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.42 | $34.86 |
| 06-19 01:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.86 | $36.98 |
| 06-18 21:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.85 | $36.55 |
| 05-26 09:51 | Will Alberta join the US? | SELL | 0.049 | $1.76 |
| 05-26 07:17 | Will Alberta join the US? | BUY | 0.051 | $1.84 |
| 05-25 12:27 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY | 0.6556290323 | $40.65 |
| 05-25 01:15 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $37.05 |
| 05-24 12:55 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $40.92 |