monty86
0xeb5f921abaa18e13b67957968dcc6c99baf5c111
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $59.9k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$161.76at 0.755Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$159.65at 0.530Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?
- +$143.00at 0.540Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?
- +$128.00at 0.660US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$100.80at 0.078Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 13:59 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 180m? | BUY | 0.7990763103 | $381.16 |
| 08-05 10:58 | Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? | BUY | 0.642890146 | $352.30 |
| 08-04 05:28 | Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee? | BUY | 0.8695683165 | $722.09 |
| 07-29 04:10 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.755 | $568.05 |
| 07-29 00:51 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31? | SELL | 0.401 | $81.58 |
| 07-27 20:14 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31? | BUY | 0.4422049984 | $56.80 |
| 07-27 20:13 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31? | SELL | 0.53 | $59.88 |
| 07-27 03:07 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m? | SELL | 0.934 | $57.69 |
| 07-27 02:35 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m? | SELL | 0.98 | $22.39 |
| 07-25 14:36 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m? | BUY | 0.09 | $10.39 |
| 07-25 14:35 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31? | SELL | 0.435 | $10.88 |
| 07-25 14:23 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m? | BUY | 0.0838242097 | $4.35 |
| 07-25 11:29 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31? | BUY | 0.406 | $45.87 |
| 07-25 11:28 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31? | BUY | 0.459 | $45.90 |
| 07-25 11:26 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m? | SELL | 0.0935270588 | $15.90 |