samanthabell
0xeb3efbcc6243948eab85720aca7d3d050ff30e9d
- Realised P&L
- $-27.98
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $3.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 9? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.280 | $3.26 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.81at 0.450Knicks vs. Cavaliers
- +$0.08at 0.996Will Solana reach $240 in October?
- +$0.06at 0.996Will XRP reach $3.20 in October?
- +$0.02at 0.997Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI before May?
- +$0.01at 0.999Trump takes Panama Canal in first 100 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 16:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.2799999416 | $3.26 |
| 05-29 16:35 | Canadiens vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.3099999781 | $7.37 |
| 05-26 21:11 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on May 27? | BUY | 0.35 | $2.97 |
| 05-24 18:27 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.4299999857 | $9.05 |
| 05-22 10:58 | Knicks vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.4499999719 | $7.21 |
| 05-20 12:32 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20? | BUY | 0.2299999676 | $4.62 |
| 02-08 02:40 | Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $207.60 |
| 02-07 23:19 | Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.993 | $207.81 |
| 02-07 23:15 | Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.997 | $203.28 |
| 02-07 19:59 | Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.997999998 | $203.49 |
| 02-07 19:53 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | SELL | 0.988 | $203.44 |
| 02-07 17:21 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | BUY | 0.99 | $203.86 |
| 10-30 15:30 | Will Solana reach $240 in October? | BUY | 0.996 | $7.68 |
| 10-30 15:29 | Will XRP reach $3.20 in October? | BUY | 0.996 | $13.90 |
| 10-30 15:28 | Will Solana reach $240 in October? | BUY | 0.996 | $12.04 |