0xeb015AC388eADB5A69453895bfE562dF16d6a420-1773871612890
0xeb015ac388eadb5a69453895bfe562df16d6a420
- Realised P&L
- $88.28
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 123
- Open portfolio
- $261.56
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded123
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.47at 0.721Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$12.95at 0.764Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
- +$11.25at 0.834Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
- +$4.40at 0.917Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?
- +$4.38at 0.920Will Elizabeth Lee be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:10 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9062569404 | $36.59 |
| 08-03 02:11 | Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06? | BUY | 0.92 | $44.16 |
| 08-03 02:11 | Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? | BUY | 0.9179999988 | $42.74 |
| 08-03 00:11 | Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.9189999985 | $43.43 |
| 07-31 20:10 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.9099999881 | $39.70 |
| 07-31 14:10 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.022 | $1.07 |
| 07-30 17:29 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8219999598 | $20.00 |
| 07-30 02:10 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9099999853 | $44.06 |
| 07-29 11:11 | Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8879999747 | $32.81 |
| 07-29 04:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.8479999965 | $22.95 |
| 07-28 00:10 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July? | BUY | 0.9169999993 | $48.63 |
| 07-28 00:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.9 | $37.69 |
| 07-27 09:10 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29? | BUY | 0.8599999986 | $25.09 |
| 07-26 06:10 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8019999995 | $16.84 |
| 07-26 01:10 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30? | BUY | 0.9099999983 | $42.96 |