PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xeb015AC388eADB5A69453895bfE562dF16d6a420-1773871612890

0xeb015ac388eadb5a69453895bfe562df16d6a420

Realised P&L
$88.28
Volume
$4.0k
Markets traded
123
Open portfolio
$261.56

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded123
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06? · No0.9200.975$46.78+$2.62
Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? · No0.9180.969$45.11+$2.37
Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? · No0.9190.912$43.12$0.31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? · No0.9060.962$38.84+$2.25
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.8880.897$33.14+$0.33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? · No0.8481.000$27.05+$4.10
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.9100.485$21.16$18.54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1470.085$6.37$4.62
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 6? · Yes0.1260.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 1-7? · No0.8850.000$0.00$21.05
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes0.8220.000$0.00$20.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 6? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.00
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? · No0.8700.000$0.00$10.00
Will Falcons reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026? · No0.9000.000$0.00$31.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:10US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.9062569404$36.59
08-03 02:11Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06?BUY0.92$44.16
08-03 02:11Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?BUY0.9179999988$42.74
08-03 00:11Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.9189999985$43.43
07-31 20:10US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.9099999881$39.70
07-31 14:10Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.022$1.07
07-30 17:29Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.8219999598$20.00
07-30 02:10Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.9099999853$44.06
07-29 11:11Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?BUY0.8879999747$32.81
07-29 04:10Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.8479999965$22.95
07-28 00:10Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?BUY0.9169999993$48.63
07-28 00:10Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?BUY0.9$37.69
07-27 09:10Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?BUY0.8599999986$25.09
07-26 06:10Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.8019999995$16.84
07-26 01:10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?BUY0.9099999983$42.96