PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ericqiao

0xea6b3ef08906f452b06a1b341d9ede20a3e08442

Realised P&L
$-247.69
Volume
$12.3k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration59.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7260.545$1.0k$345.07
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0610.015$78.96$231.80
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22? · Yes0.6350.000$0.00$13.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-26 09:06Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.7257564808$1.4k
06-22 01:11Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.986$1.4k
05-15 07:09Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?BUY0.6352224835$13.00
04-30 01:42Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.8429964551$1.2k
04-30 00:34Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?SELL0.9863703252$565.73
04-30 00:33Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?SELL0.9929070423$21.15
04-30 00:33Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?SELL0.996$22.43
04-30 00:33Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?SELL0.992$23.90
04-30 00:33Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?SELL0.9915553103$35.94
04-30 00:32Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?SELL0.993$551.92
04-26 13:50Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.9$500.23
04-23 04:16Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?BUY0.8$29.00
04-23 04:15Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?BUY0.9387652738$20.00
04-23 04:15Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?BUY0.8299999701$20.00
04-23 04:15Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?BUY0.8879999957$20.00