ericqiao
0xea6b3ef08906f452b06a1b341d9ede20a3e08442
- Realised P&L
- $-247.69
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.726 | 0.545 | $1.0k | −$345.07 |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.015 | $78.96 | −$231.80 |
| Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22? · Yes | 0.635 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$203.56at 0.843Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$72.48at 0.860Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
- +$51.69at 0.900Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$6.94at 0.800Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
- +$3.90at 0.830Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 09:06 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7257564808 | $1.4k |
| 06-22 01:11 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.986 | $1.4k |
| 05-15 07:09 | Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22? | BUY | 0.6352224835 | $13.00 |
| 04-30 01:42 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.8429964551 | $1.2k |
| 04-30 00:34 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30? | SELL | 0.9863703252 | $565.73 |
| 04-30 00:33 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April? | SELL | 0.9929070423 | $21.15 |
| 04-30 00:33 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | SELL | 0.996 | $22.43 |
| 04-30 00:33 | Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April? | SELL | 0.992 | $23.90 |
| 04-30 00:33 | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April? | SELL | 0.9915553103 | $35.94 |
| 04-30 00:32 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $551.92 |
| 04-26 13:50 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $500.23 |
| 04-23 04:16 | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April? | BUY | 0.8 | $29.00 |
| 04-23 04:15 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April? | BUY | 0.9387652738 | $20.00 |
| 04-23 04:15 | Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April? | BUY | 0.8299999701 | $20.00 |
| 04-23 04:15 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | BUY | 0.8879999957 | $20.00 |