lunchuangchi
0xe9debd61d431d76a6964f05e0a0dce06b72df3ee
- Realised P&L
- $-9.78
- Volume
- $118.0k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $106.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$59.18at 0.041Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 January 19-25?
- +$30.02at 0.080Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack
- +$3.79at 0.940Providence Friars vs. Connecticut Huskies
- +$3.56at 0.900Manhattan Jaspers vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats
- +$3.45at 0.900UTSA Roadrunners vs. North Texas Mean Green
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 17:07 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 30? | BUY | 0.0429999862 | $2.86 |
| 05-22 20:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 23? | BUY | 0.0149999938 | $2.35 |
| 04-11 19:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 12? | BUY | 0.0120000001 | $1.19 |
| 04-05 21:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 6? | BUY | 0.0140000002 | $1.05 |
| 04-05 16:42 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.0140069535 | $1.06 |
| 04-02 22:51 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 Week of March 30 2026? | BUY | 0.1021270352 | $1.85 |
| 03-28 06:50 | Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 28? | BUY | 0.0270000004 | $2.60 |
| 02-26 20:49 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.10 |
| 02-26 20:48 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $55.72 |
| 01-30 15:55 | XRP Up or Down on January 30? | BUY | 0.0230000003 | $1.71 |
| 01-28 14:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 28? | BUY | 0.0220000004 | $1.68 |
| 01-28 00:53 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 28? | BUY | 0.0329999892 | $2.89 |
| 01-26 22:41 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 27? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.86 |
| 01-25 11:13 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 January 19-25? | BUY | 0.0410000007 | $2.53 |
| 01-21 02:35 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on January 21? | BUY | 0.022 | $5.39 |