xiaopingan3565
0xe8f2f3c1fdfa0c99a3db6e44b6c412becd9396d7
- Realised P&L
- $4.5k
- Volume
- $115.1k
- Markets traded
- 391
- Open portfolio
- $45.38
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded391
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$273.50at 0.521Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?
- +$266.72at 0.331Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 10?
- +$252.82at 0.607Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27?
- +$228.34at 0.206Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 28?
- +$226.28at 0.639Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 22:53 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 08-07 15:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.5158987622 | $30.00 |
| 08-07 15:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.52 | $20.80 |
| 08-04 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 18:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.64 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 16:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.7087727552 | $34.65 |
| 08-02 01:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.6323946355 | $30.00 |
| 07-28 16:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.7 | $30.00 |
| 07-26 03:34 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 26? | BUY | 0.4504106627 | $30.00 |
| 07-23 02:21 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 23? | BUY | 0.1410869652 | $80.00 |
| 07-22 10:07 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 22? | SELL | 0.687219054 | $40.97 |
| 07-22 08:07 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 22? | BUY | 0.8134015431 | $48.49 |
| 07-22 01:22 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 22? | SELL | 0.0307400508 | $1.82 |
| 07-22 01:21 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 22? | SELL | 0.2758913525 | $4.98 |
| 07-22 01:12 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 22? | BUY | 0.3891056863 | $30.00 |