mshcpx
0xe86e5c9487779eaa421910f993e574162ff68642
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $101.1k
- Markets traded
- 429
- Open portfolio
- $11.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded429
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$435.06at 0.025Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$137.39at 0.110Will Abbott Laboratories (ABT) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$90.38at 0.247Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$71.75at 0.818ICC WWC: South Africa vs. Bangladesh
- +$61.82at 0.393ICC WWC: India vs. Australia
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 19:08 | Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 19:07 | Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 03-05 00:11 | Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.0468785624 | $2.00 |
| 03-05 00:10 | ChatGPT Full Outage by March 15? | BUY | 0.1703496275 | $2.00 |
| 03-05 00:09 | U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 03-05 00:09 | Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 03-05 00:08 | Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.00 |
| 03-05 00:06 | GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 03-05 00:05 | U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.1799999649 | $4.00 |
| 03-05 00:05 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026? | BUY | 0.0316300986 | $2.00 |
| 03-05 00:04 | Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026? | BUY | 0.026816841 | $2.00 |
| 01-29 07:41 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 01-29 07:40 | Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 01-29 07:33 | Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.336 | $10.72 |
| 01-29 07:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |