fred886
0xe7a950c90dbcc0a8485d50b72160808fb2d5f922
- Realised P&L
- $-3.36
- Volume
- $114.52
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $2.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.215 | $2.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.177 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET · Down | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.11 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET · Up | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina | 0.412 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.72at 0.854Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
- +$1.69at 0.856Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Bondar
- +$1.00at 0.824Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.69at 0.590Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$0.49at 0.910Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 08:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999951 | $2.00 |
| 07-28 08:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 07-28 07:09 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999531 | $3.00 |
| 07-19 18:13 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4124998298 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 18:13 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 00:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $6.11 |
| 07-17 06:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.99 |
| 07-17 04:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $5.50 |
| 06-16 18:42 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.817 | $4.96 |
| 06-16 18:42 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.817 | $2.97 |
| 06-16 08:35 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.86 | $1.01 |
| 06-16 08:35 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.177 | $1.00 |
| 05-25 10:44 | Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Bondar | BUY | 0.86 | $2.00 |
| 05-25 10:44 | Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Bondar | BUY | 0.86 | $2.00 |
| 05-25 10:44 | Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Bondar | BUY | 0.86 | $2.00 |