PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

fred886

0xe7a950c90dbcc0a8485d50b72160808fb2d5f922

Realised P&L
$-3.36
Volume
$114.52
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$2.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2200.215$2.93$0.07
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1770.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET · Down0.9500.000$0.00$6.11
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00$2.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.4120.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 08:54Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETBUY0.9699999951$2.00
07-28 08:07Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETBUY0.4$2.00
07-28 07:09Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2199999531$3.00
07-19 18:13Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4124998298$1.00
07-19 18:13Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5899998466$1.00
07-18 00:13Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETBUY0.95$6.11
07-17 06:28Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETBUY0.98$5.99
07-17 04:59Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETBUY0.92$5.50
06-16 18:42Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.817$4.96
06-16 18:42Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.817$2.97
06-16 08:35Will Neymar play in the World Cup?BUY0.86$1.01
06-16 08:35Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.177$1.00
05-25 10:44Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna BondarBUY0.86$2.00
05-25 10:44Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna BondarBUY0.86$2.00
05-25 10:44Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna BondarBUY0.86$2.00