pionter
0xe7954b2e997975d0cdb027b123be6a493b2899c9
- Realised P&L
- $-453.15
- Volume
- $8.9k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $35.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.175 | $17.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.421 | 0.360 | $9.07 | −$1.53 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.275 | $6.05 | +$0.55 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.075 | $3.46 | −$8.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.31 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.324 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.35 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.277 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.49 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.349 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.22 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.082 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.18 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.94at 0.375Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 7?
- +$57.47at 0.658Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on August 5?
- +$45.54at 0.357Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 6?
- +$27.04at 0.571Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on August 3?
- +$20.26at 0.805Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 18:33 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.46 | $6.90 |
| 08-07 15:43 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.19 | $2.92 |
| 08-07 13:31 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.16 |
| 08-07 13:27 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.5 | $4.00 |
| 08-07 13:23 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.59 | $7.67 |
| 08-07 13:07 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.5715974759 | $17.21 |
| 08-07 13:04 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.52 |
| 08-07 13:03 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.52 |
| 08-07 10:51 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.25 | $22.62 |
| 08-06 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.16 |
| 08-06 09:22 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.50 |
| 08-06 09:21 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.70 |
| 08-06 09:19 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.29 | $6.44 |
| 08-06 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.37 | $20.76 |
| 08-06 09:12 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.40 |