TraceyPugh8193
0xe794413f63a3b169b2e57dbff546c2f4ec2e321c
- Realised P&L
- $-42.36
- Volume
- $102.3k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $860.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.770 | 0.850 | $854.25 | +$80.40 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.060 | $6.06 | −$18.18 |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.260 | $0.26 | −$0.13 |
| Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$388.08at 0.660Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
- +$293.62at 0.180Will Keir Starmer say "Opportunity" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
- +$274.23at 0.110Will Keir Starmer say "Venezuela" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
- +$206.64at 0.180Will "Anxiety - Doechii" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
- +$164.84at 0.530Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 13:49 | Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $898.20 |
| 04-23 11:47 | Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.19 | $121.98 |
| 04-23 08:26 | Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $878.24 |
| 04-12 00:09 | Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $95.16 |
| 04-12 00:08 | Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $344.65 |
| 04-11 23:31 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $4.48 |
| 04-11 23:25 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $9.28 |
| 04-11 23:21 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $9.60 |
| 04-11 18:10 | Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m? | SELL | 0.94 | $53.58 |
| 04-11 18:09 | Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m? | SELL | 0.93 | $249.24 |
| 04-11 13:10 | Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m? | BUY | 0.84 | $273.00 |
| 04-11 12:41 | Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $447.02 |
| 04-11 07:32 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $7.68 |
| 04-11 07:28 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $7.68 |
| 04-11 07:24 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $8.00 |