PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

skyonlyone

0xe6f57a58514fe0ce205be41a66ddb8a3cef9a4bf

Realised P&L
$77.21
Volume
$40.3k
Markets traded
1,055
Open portfolio
$154.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,055
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8800.961$109.15+$9.15
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6300.575$28.75$2.75
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0900.085$17.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET · Up0.7500.000$0.00$5.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET · Up0.2000.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET · Down0.3000.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$2.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET · Down0.3000.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 56-57°F on January 22? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$2.50
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$0.77
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 4AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 04:44Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.63$3.15
07-28 12:29Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.38$5.23
07-28 12:27Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.39$15.60
07-28 10:44Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.09$18.00
07-19 21:51Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.911$91.10
07-19 21:51Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.08$2.00
07-14 22:01Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.29$14.50
07-11 23:48Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2$20.00
07-11 01:26Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.182$4.55
07-10 14:08Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.059$5.90
07-07 21:58Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.102131$5.11
06-29 22:14Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.071$7.10
06-28 04:01Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1$2.50
06-28 04:01Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2$10.00
06-28 03:59Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.08$4.00
Trader skyonlyone · PolyBot