PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

redduck

0xe6ad2f566aca73c971d98b3864a0d4a20d75959c

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$37.7k
Markets traded
227
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded227
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.8750.976$195.10+$20.10
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? · No0.9401.000$100.00+$6.00
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.5201.000$100.00+$48.00
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.983$98.25+$8.25
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.980$97.95+$11.95
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.972$97.20+$20.20
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto · Nothing0.9300.967$96.70+$3.70
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6000.957$95.70+$35.70
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.7900.945$94.50+$15.50
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.9000.915$91.50+$1.50
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · No0.8700.500$50.00$37.00
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? · No0.8800.500$50.00$38.00
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5750.100$20.00$95.00
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0800.035$3.54$4.46
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$58.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-21 05:15Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.79$79.00
04-21 05:11Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.72$72.00
03-04 19:25Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?BUY0.8895082334$43.75
03-04 19:25Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?BUY0.89$89.00
03-01 11:32Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?BUY0.49$49.00
03-01 11:32Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?BUY0.93$93.00
02-15 07:23US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?BUY0.77$77.00
02-12 06:21Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?BUY0.95$95.00
02-12 06:20Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?BUY0.88$88.00
02-11 11:46Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?BUY0.41$41.00
02-05 17:06Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?BUY0.41$41.00
02-01 09:15Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?BUY0.95$95.00
02-01 09:15Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?BUY0.75$75.00
02-01 09:09Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?BUY0.71$71.00
01-13 07:16Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?BUY0.9$90.00