redduck
0xe6ad2f566aca73c971d98b3864a0d4a20d75959c
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $37.7k
- Markets traded
- 227
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded227
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$378.21at 0.294Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?
- +$161.00at 0.195Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
- +$158.00at 0.750Ethereum all time high in 2024?
- +$155.01at 0.721Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
- +$147.00at 0.706Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 05:15 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.79 | $79.00 |
| 04-21 05:11 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.72 | $72.00 |
| 03-04 19:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March? | BUY | 0.8895082334 | $43.75 |
| 03-04 19:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? | BUY | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 03-01 11:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | BUY | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 03-01 11:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 02-15 07:23 | US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $77.00 |
| 02-12 06:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 02-12 06:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 02-11 11:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | BUY | 0.41 | $41.00 |
| 02-05 17:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | BUY | 0.41 | $41.00 |
| 02-01 09:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 02-01 09:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February? | BUY | 0.75 | $75.00 |
| 02-01 09:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February? | BUY | 0.71 | $71.00 |
| 01-13 07:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9 | $90.00 |