anonymous5474495
0xe6307b98bceee038834a68358e17804999c6ef20
- Realised P&L
- $4.54
- Volume
- $45.1k
- Markets traded
- 287
- Open portfolio
- $14.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded287
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.50at 0.670Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 6?
- +$34.63at 0.686Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 6?
- +$33.58at 0.687Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 6?
- +$30.54at 0.733Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 6?
- +$29.88at 0.740Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 23:27 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.9038986825 | $40.00 |
| 08-06 23:23 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.6199999977 | $74.95 |
| 08-06 23:18 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.9 | $13.23 |
| 08-06 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.9 | $51.30 |
| 08-06 22:57 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.8727404474 | $102.92 |
| 08-06 22:56 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.627465794 | $12.38 |
| 08-06 22:56 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.9469999982 | $10.97 |
| 08-06 22:39 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.9689999996 | $38.86 |
| 08-06 22:39 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.6315625 | $60.63 |
| 08-06 22:39 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.96 | $7.68 |
| 08-06 22:38 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.9545074627 | $63.95 |
| 08-06 22:30 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.97 | $29.10 |
| 08-06 22:23 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.9512895344 | $70.08 |
| 08-06 21:46 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.94 | $32.04 |
| 08-06 21:38 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.92 | $12.88 |