jhdpp
0xe5995f025932bb588086491e990210dc46b9c882
- Realised P&L
- $-325.23
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $99.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $40 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $99.95 | +$0.05 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? · No | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$109.74 |
| Will BigFuture School be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7? · No | 0.998 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$104.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.60at 0.995Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
- +$0.60at 0.990US strikes Nigeria by November 30?
- +$0.57at 0.993Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$0.46at 0.970Trump out as President by March 31?
- +$0.45at 0.996Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 10:27 | Will Solana dip to $40 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 07-27 10:49 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.98 |
| 07-27 10:49 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 07-27 10:48 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $105 in July? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-18 12:21 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.70 |
| 07-10 01:06 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $170-$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $79.84 |
| 07-10 01:06 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$170 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $34.93 |
| 06-23 01:22 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $114.77 |
| 06-11 02:01 | Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $114.77 |
| 06-03 01:01 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $120-$130 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.89 |
| 05-13 01:23 | Will Solana dip to $30 May 11-17? | BUY | 0.999 | $113.89 |
| 05-13 01:22 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | SELL | 0.973 | $113.84 |
| 05-10 00:58 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | BUY | 0.971 | $113.61 |
| 04-28 10:16 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $114.07 |
| 04-16 08:20 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $2.00-$3.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $57.88 |