lovejcs2
0xe4ac5b9e2589eeb64039739bca5d0a521c4c0051
- Realised P&L
- $-46.08
- Volume
- $157.00
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $14.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-29.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.955 | $14.32 | +$0.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.816 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$53.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.36at 0.738Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 8?
- +$1.50at 0.800Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7?
- +$0.60at 0.920Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 7?
- +$0.48at 0.930Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.50 |