Realnba
0xe4247f7564b8b35a0b6758d0766b1b50ea57d6e3
- Realised P&L
- $-993.98
- Volume
- $435.0k
- Markets traded
- 155
- Open portfolio
- $23.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded155
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 6? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.024 | $22.78 | +$5.10 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 6? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.001 | $0.29 | −$4.39 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.87 |
| Will the fight be won by submission? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.54 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 5? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.54 |
| Will Stephanie Luciano win by KO or TKO? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.70 |
| Will the fight be won by submission? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.94 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 5? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$102.06at 0.180Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
- +$96.32at 0.015Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 3?
- +$92.65at 0.001Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?
- +$81.90at 0.210UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$39.73at 0.190Will Felipe Franco win by KO or TKO?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 20:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.022 | $2.20 |
| 08-06 18:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.023 | $2.10 |
| 08-06 17:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.0180928144 | $12.09 |
| 08-06 17:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.08 |
| 08-06 15:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.53 |
| 08-06 15:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 08-06 15:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.0099816176 | $2.71 |
| 08-06 15:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.98 |
| 08-06 11:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.37 |
| 08-06 11:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.61 |
| 08-05 23:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.014 | $3.58 |
| 08-05 23:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.014 | $4.50 |
| 08-05 23:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.014 | $6.16 |
| 08-05 21:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.013 | $5.72 |
| 08-05 21:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.57 |