Plumbrayan53
0xe3458ef83d7d39aa3a547cdcd06e049c01615592
- Realised P&L
- $8.29
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $115.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $115.27 | −$0.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.79at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 25?
- +$0.64at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?
- +$0.47at 0.930Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$0.43at 0.920Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?
- +$0.40at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 17:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $115.62 |
| 06-22 22:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on June 24? | BUY | 0.9989999943 | $95.36 |
| 06-17 21:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $94.29 |
| 06-13 17:45 | Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9929997432 | $3.77 |
| 06-13 17:43 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.98 | $3.59 |
| 06-13 17:40 | Will XRP reach $1.60 in June? | BUY | 0.9819999357 | $6.60 |
| 06-06 19:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $105.21 |
| 06-04 10:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5? | BUY | 0.9989999926 | $105.12 |
| 06-01 15:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $106.15 |
| 05-24 08:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $103.58 |
| 05-22 11:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22? | BUY | 0.9989999944 | $101.33 |
| 05-19 06:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $103.39 |
| 05-17 03:44 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May? | BUY | 0.9829999241 | $2.02 |
| 05-13 23:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $90,000 on May 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $106.34 |
| 05-08 17:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $101.86 |