0xe252f4dea2cd93d79e4617cca6d22f9b4324a642
- Realised P&L
- $-497.58
- Volume
- $29.1k
- Markets traded
- 797
- Open portfolio
- $49.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded797
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.60at 0.060Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
- +$20.38at 0.596Solana Up or Down - April 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
- +$18.65at 0.465Solana Up or Down - April 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
- +$17.15at 0.205Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?
- +$16.13at 0.140Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 01:14 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.79 | $4.46 |
| 07-03 15:27 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.41 | $4.90 |
| 07-02 23:57 | Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.9779999812 | $4.90 |
| 07-02 10:05 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.7475 | $4.88 |
| 06-26 01:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.175 | $4.76 |
| 06-25 07:16 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.80 |
| 06-25 05:26 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.90 |
| 06-25 05:26 | Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? | BUY | 0.18 | $4.90 |
| 06-25 05:11 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.466 | $4.86 |
| 06-14 13:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $13.27 |
| 06-14 13:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | BUY | 0.9695189968 | $12.90 |
| 06-14 12:23 | XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $12.43 |
| 06-14 12:15 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.9238369757 | $14.99 |
| 06-14 11:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | BUY | 0.8599999954 | $14.99 |
| 06-14 10:43 | XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |