Renati16
0xe1c7c530ad0c0d624f122351cd74b26b2632d291
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $70.7k
- Markets traded
- 131
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded131
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$406.07at 0.485Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?
- +$379.73at 0.398Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?
- +$379.00at 0.771Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$339.35at 0.442Will Reddit say "OpenAI" during earnings call?
- +$296.25at 0.301Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.0122142857 | $8.55 |
| 08-03 04:40 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 08-03 02:59 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $220.00 |
| 08-03 02:53 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.69 | $10.97 |
| 08-03 02:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.7719693336 | $90.12 |
| 08-03 01:03 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar | BUY | 0.63 | $189.00 |
| 08-02 14:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.13 | $39.00 |
| 08-02 14:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $219.77 |
| 08-02 14:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.997 | $791.27 |
| 08-02 04:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? | BUY | 0.668997731 | $171.01 |
| 08-02 04:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.12 | $24.00 |
| 08-02 03:01 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.34 | $102.00 |
| 08-02 00:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.65 | $6.50 |
| 08-02 00:00 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz | BUY | 0.895 | $17.90 |
| 08-01 09:25 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.73 | $93.73 |