PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xe13c9943feb46e868d03e38abf2258ad35fb1159

Realised P&L
$-390.84
Volume
$57.0k
Markets traded
378
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded378
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship? · Yes0.3200.325$325.00+$5.00
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.5300.520$245.28$4.72
Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026? · Sinner0.7360.675$229.02$20.73
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes0.2500.285$113.96+$13.96
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.966$106.74+$7.24
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes0.3870.135$69.84$130.16
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar · Taylor Fritz0.5700.615$53.95+$3.95
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-06? · Yes0.8400.845$50.30+$0.30
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3600.230$47.67$26.95
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? · Yes0.3800.240$31.58$18.42
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges · Nuno Borges0.6900.755$27.36+$2.35
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.0750.074$24.83$0.17
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.1250.118$23.60$1.40
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? · Yes0.0920.046$22.48$22.78
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.0250.015$15.71$9.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 13:39Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.8399999993$50.00
08-02 13:37Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno BorgesBUY0.6899999925$25.00
08-02 13:35Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael JodarBUY0.5699999967$50.00
08-01 13:40Canadian Open, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Christopher O'ConnellBUY0.6199999975$50.00
07-31 12:05Will Sporting CP win on 2026-07-31?BUY0.5099999986$50.00
07-30 16:15Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-07-30?BUY0.8499999996$100.00
07-26 18:42Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander BlockxBUY0.2799999937$30.00
07-26 10:19Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?BUY0.32$320.00
07-26 08:24Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.1979999861$10.00
07-23 17:18Will FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?BUY0.179999987$10.00
07-21 10:38Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?BUY0.25$100.00
07-21 10:38Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.5299999983$100.00
07-19 12:49Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.082999997$25.00
07-19 12:41Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.917$101.77
07-18 07:35France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.67$67.00