PolyBot

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Traders

0xe0d7f9aabc7676df6eeb8042c2786f6ba9551314

Realised P&L
$-569.73
Volume
$88.7k
Markets traded
343
Open portfolio
$321.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded343
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? · Yes0.0240.028$82.82+$12.88
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.009$66.11$3.88
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? · Yes0.1600.145$27.19$2.81
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.7300.590$23.33$5.52
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1220.117$12.38$0.62
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? · No0.7660.735$11.22$0.48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · Yes0.6000.935$9.86+$3.54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.5700.855$9.33+$3.11
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.0950.105$8.46+$0.81
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1070.085$7.96$2.04
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.7021.000$5.87+$1.75
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No0.5940.599$5.73+$0.05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8360.825$4.61$0.06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · Yes0.0330.032$4.27$0.14
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? · No0.9400.945$4.09+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 19:13US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?SELL0.626$0.34
08-04 18:55Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.18$0.22
08-04 18:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?SELL0.043$0.28
08-04 18:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.18$0.14
08-04 18:29US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
08-04 18:28US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.592999984$1.00
08-04 18:21US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.6149998616$1.00
08-04 18:12US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.6089998082$1.00
08-04 18:10Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.18$0.56
08-04 18:02US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.5779997815$1.00
08-04 18:02US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.5779997815$1.00
08-04 17:57Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.37$2.88
08-04 17:41Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.6$3.94
08-04 17:04Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.37$0.54
08-04 16:17Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9?BUY0.0309999705$1.00