BielBitcoin
0xe0c19393a74a5057d79a395e10553f16fd477eda
- Realised P&L
- $806.30
- Volume
- $415.5k
- Markets traded
- 354
- Open portfolio
- $4.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded354
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$231.10at 0.692Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?
- +$226.34at 0.139Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$213.67at 0.753Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 3?
- +$165.19at 0.932Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 27?
- +$154.34at 0.772Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 73°F or below on July 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 23:08 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $464.43 |
| 08-03 23:07 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $272.54 |
| 08-03 20:09 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.4343459292 | $182.19 |
| 08-03 14:54 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.956 | $286.80 |
| 08-03 14:50 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.9063239907 | $265.81 |
| 08-03 14:41 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.9185391377 | $109.72 |
| 08-03 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.978 | $29.34 |
| 08-03 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.979 | $25.45 |
| 08-03 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $477.93 |
| 08-03 04:56 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.9758739685 | $130.08 |
| 08-03 04:51 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $292.28 |
| 08-03 03:02 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.949009803 | $95.84 |
| 08-02 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.96 | $137.68 |
| 08-02 02:50 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $92.07 |
| 08-02 02:49 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |