PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

BielBitcoin

0xe0c19393a74a5057d79a395e10553f16fd477eda

Realised P&L
$806.30
Volume
$415.5k
Markets traded
354
Open portfolio
$4.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded354
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 3? · No0.9441.000$643.10+$35.62
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on August 3? · No0.9681.000$590.80+$18.52
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on August 3? · No0.8971.000$557.06+$57.24
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 4? · No0.9800.999$486.95+$9.02
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 3? · Yes0.9991.000$464.66+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 4? · No0.9750.989$393.66+$5.39
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 3? · No0.9631.000$348.04+$12.64
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 3? · Yes0.9991.000$272.67+$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 3? · No0.9821.000$199.90+$3.40
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 3? · No0.9851.000$192.90+$2.83
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 3? · No0.9701.000$99.95+$2.95
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on August 4? · No0.9490.989$99.88+$4.04
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1520.135$74.23$9.49
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 3? · No0.9801.000$50.47+$0.98
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2150.095$18.40$23.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 23:08Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 3?BUY0.999$464.43
08-03 23:07Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 3?BUY0.999$272.54
08-03 20:09Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 3?SELL0.4343459292$182.19
08-03 14:54Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 3?BUY0.956$286.80
08-03 14:50Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on August 3?BUY0.9063239907$265.81
08-03 14:41Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 3?BUY0.9185391377$109.72
08-03 14:40Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on August 3?BUY0.978$29.34
08-03 14:40Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on August 3?BUY0.979$25.45
08-03 04:57Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 4?BUY0.98$477.93
08-03 04:56Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 3?BUY0.9758739685$130.08
08-03 04:51Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 4?BUY0.98$292.28
08-03 03:02Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on August 4?BUY0.949009803$95.84
08-02 15:12Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 3?BUY0.96$137.68
08-02 02:50Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 3?BUY0.99$92.07
08-02 02:49Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on August 3?BUY0.99$4.95