peq102
0xdff9e96969ee87f084312d15464644c34d6348dd
- Realised P&L
- $-2.29
- Volume
- $88.31
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $9.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · No | 0.820 | 0.900 | $5.49 | +$0.49 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.124 | 0.135 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.201 | 0.207 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.117 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Trump post "China" on Truth Social this week? · No | 0.260 | 0.180 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.25at 0.690Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
- +$2.25at 0.690Will Trump say "Patriot" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
- +$0.39at 0.720Will Trump post "Nuclear" on Truth Social this week?
- +$0.35at 0.660Will Trump post "President Xi" on Truth Social this week?
- +$0.01at 0.995Will Trump post "Lindsey" or "Graham" on Truth Social this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 16:00 | Will Trump post "Nuclear" on Truth Social this week? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.38 |
| 08-02 08:00 | Will Trump post "President Xi" on Truth Social this week? | SELL | 0.89 | $1.34 |
| 08-02 07:07 | Will Trump post "China" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 07:07 | Will Trump post "Nuclear" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 15:35 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 06:10 | Will Trump post "Nuclear" on Truth Social this week? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.14 |
| 07-29 16:52 | Will Trump post "President Xi" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 16:52 | Will Trump post "Nuclear" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 13:30 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1239998934 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 13:30 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2009998547 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 13:30 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1169999042 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 14:15 | Will Trump post "Lindsey" or "Graham" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.9949991244 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 14:15 | Will Trump post "Lindsey" or "Graham" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.0792251778 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 11:58 | Will Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 09:52 | Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.6899999917 | $5.00 |