nothingeverhappens1
0xdff5bd6dff8aba00eb5369bccd8d65d6860122bc
- Realised P&L
- $-4.43
- Volume
- $35.6k
- Markets traded
- 251
- Open portfolio
- $34.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded251
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$133.38at 0.022Trudeau out in 2024?
- +$118.37at 0.250Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?
- +$94.28at 0.070Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?
- +$82.02at 0.037Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$77.91at 0.280Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 21:32 | Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | SELL | 0.51 | $19.30 |
| 07-22 21:32 | Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2703581535 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 14:27 | Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 14:25 | Will Catherine McKenney win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0515953742 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 14:24 | Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2641509299 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 18:21 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.022 | $5.50 |
| 07-04 18:20 | Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 14:34 | Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.691 | $6.91 |
| 06-18 14:28 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 14:28 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 14:25 | Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 06-13 23:59 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.078999993 | $10.00 |
| 06-07 18:21 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.016 | $4.00 |
| 06-07 18:21 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0839999854 | $5.00 |
| 06-07 18:20 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0189999954 | $4.00 |