PolyBot

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Traders

0xde90Cbd94ffcA342b256DC3365ff123D4016163e-1772964065742

0xde90cbd94ffca342b256dc3365ff123d4016163e

Realised P&L
$-0.71
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$18.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3300.325$8.86$0.14
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.1600.160$5.00+$0.00
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0350.038$4.40+$0.40
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$2.00
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? · No0.3100.000$0.00$6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET · Up0.3400.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET · Up0.1200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.00
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$2.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00$2.00
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$3.00
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$2.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 05:44Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETBUY0.1199998992$1.00
07-29 05:43Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETSELL0.3$1.07
07-29 05:41Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETBUY0.2799998432$1.00
07-29 05:36Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETBUY0.7299999679$5.00
07-20 06:55Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0349999916$4.00
07-20 06:54Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.034$13.85
07-19 12:25Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETSELL0.67$1.97
07-19 12:24Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.33999983$1.00
07-19 12:19Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETBUY0.54$1.00
07-15 20:39Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.2799999515$3.00
07-14 20:30Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.1$1.00
07-14 18:52Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?BUY0.0699999688$2.00
07-14 18:51Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?BUY0.0899999599$2.00
07-14 18:51Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?BUY0.16$2.00
07-09 06:34Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETBUY0.4$1.00