0xde90Cbd94ffcA342b256DC3365ff123D4016163e-1772964065742
0xde90cbd94ffca342b256dc3365ff123d4016163e
- Realised P&L
- $-0.71
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $18.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.51at 0.267Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$22.38at 0.183Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
- +$10.99at 0.154Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.64at 0.130Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
- +$6.38at 0.320Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 05:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 05:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | SELL | 0.3 | $1.07 |
| 07-29 05:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 05:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 06:55 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0349999916 | $4.00 |
| 07-20 06:54 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.034 | $13.85 |
| 07-19 12:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | SELL | 0.67 | $1.97 |
| 07-19 12:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 12:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 20:39 | Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.2799999515 | $3.00 |
| 07-14 20:30 | Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 18:52 | Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain? | BUY | 0.0699999688 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 18:51 | Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain? | BUY | 0.0899999599 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 18:51 | Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 07-09 06:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |