0xDe6DA77fa274A15E6a08fB8ABbC133D6bce1274D-1760386116762
0xde6da77fa274a15e6a08fb8abbc133d6bce1274d
- Realised P&L
- $-111.45
- Volume
- $23.5k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $124.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.072 | $96.55 | +$10.40 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.590 | 0.345 | $17.24 | −$12.26 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.002 | $4.25 | −$120.88 |
| Will Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.006 | $3.00 | −$17.50 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · No | 0.250 | 0.042 | $1.85 | −$9.15 |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.003 | $1.57 | −$9.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.25at 0.014Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$3.11at 0.262Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
- +$2.68at 0.080Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
- +$1.25at 0.360Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
- +$1.13at 0.024Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 17:58 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.50 |
| 05-26 17:52 | Will Eduardo Leite finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0029479242 | $1.80 |
| 05-26 17:52 | Will Camilo Santana finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.009 | $3.81 |
| 05-20 17:05 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.036 | $6.45 |
| 05-15 21:36 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.83 |
| 05-13 18:34 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0140162338 | $8.00 |
| 05-13 18:33 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.09 |
| 05-13 18:30 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.034 | $9.31 |
| 05-08 16:55 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.006 | $12.00 |
| 04-24 00:29 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0189389068 | $7.75 |
| 04-24 00:28 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.017 | $3.73 |
| 04-24 00:28 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.80 |
| 04-24 00:27 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.05 |
| 04-24 00:27 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.023 | $1.31 |
| 04-24 00:27 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.009 | $5.40 |