0xddc08af5792ba0d6199bfba35a8a5cc9cc50da58
- Realised P&L
- $-29.78
- Volume
- $805.10
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $2.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.415 | $2.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.30at 0.330US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$9.52at 0.134Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 11?
- +$6.84at 0.101Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3?
- +$1.02at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5?
- +$-0.32at 0.380Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 07:38 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.3799999468 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 01:37 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.299999925 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 01:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 08-05 01:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2899999275 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 08:11 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.299999925 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 07:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.2568027211 | $3.02 |
| 08-04 07:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 01:06 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1699999422 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 14:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.68 |
| 08-03 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 04:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3799999468 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.18 | $15.57 |
| 08-03 03:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0978346682 | $6.84 |
| 08-03 03:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1009428806 | $8.73 |
| 05-29 06:38 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |