PolyBot

Browsing is read-only · trading funds are held by PolyBot

Sign in

Traders

0xddc08af5792ba0d6199bfba35a8a5cc9cc50da58

Realised P&L
$-29.78
Volume
$805.10
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$2.18

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration53.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 9? · Yes0.3800.415$2.18+$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 6? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 07:38Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 9?BUY0.3799999468$2.00
08-05 01:37Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 6?BUY0.299999925$2.00
08-05 01:03Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5?BUY0.05$0.50
08-05 01:02Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 6?BUY0.2899999275$2.00
08-04 08:11Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6?BUY0.299999925$2.00
08-04 07:24Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5?SELL0.2568027211$3.02
08-04 07:24Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 6?BUY0.3299999591$5.00
08-04 01:06Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5?BUY0.1699999422$2.00
08-03 14:56Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4?SELL0.32$1.68
08-03 06:25Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3?BUY0.059999946$1.00
08-03 04:20Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4?BUY0.3799999468$2.00
08-03 04:00Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3?SELL0.18$15.57
08-03 03:59Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3?BUY0.0978346682$6.84
08-03 03:29Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3?BUY0.1009428806$8.73
05-29 06:38US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.1$10.00