0xdd501cB6a5FE594571D724e0a5d5b910600DA2e4-1779718070549
0xdd501cb6a5fe594571d724e0a5d5b910600da2e4
- Realised P&L
- $-209.40
- Volume
- $16.8k
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $3.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.28at 0.105Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$33.59at 0.510Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score
- +$25.71at 0.280Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?
- +$23.19at 0.005Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$21.25at 0.383Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 20:59 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.581 | $3.42 |
| 07-15 20:58 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.93 | $44.28 |
| 07-15 20:23 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2875 | $2.30 |
| 07-15 20:23 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.1049999826 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 20:22 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.314 | $7.36 |
| 06-29 16:52 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on or prior to July 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.076512458 | $3.00 |
| 06-29 16:49 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 16:46 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0205077927 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 01:57 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.888 | $5.31 |
| 06-27 18:47 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0372223659 | $38.37 |
| 06-27 18:46 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.379601227 | $4.95 |
| 06-27 18:41 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1899999959 | $30.00 |
| 06-27 18:40 | Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 18:40 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3833988306 | $5.00 |
| 06-27 02:51 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.215 | $1.29 |