duirr
0xdca3fa9556678d488c6df43832b8eb3a4750f3a2
- Realised P&L
- $-6.14
- Volume
- $17.3k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $127.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP reach $1.70 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $68.99 | −$0.24 |
| Will Solana reach $110 August 3-9? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $58.05 | +$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.21at 0.998Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
- +$0.13at 0.998Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
- +$0.13at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
- +$0.12at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
- +$0.12at 0.997Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on April 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 14:23 | Will XRP reach $1.70 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $69.23 |
| 08-05 14:23 | Will Solana reach $110 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.998 | $57.96 |
| 07-09 13:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $89.81 |
| 07-09 13:11 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999874 | $37.17 |
| 06-08 13:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $42.87 |
| 06-08 13:54 | Will Solana reach $140 June 8-14? | BUY | 0.999 | $52.63 |
| 06-08 13:52 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.35 |
| 05-19 14:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $64.50 |
| 05-19 14:21 | Will Solana dip to $30 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $62.09 |
| 04-10 14:46 | Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on April 13? | BUY | 0.997 | $38.59 |
| 04-10 14:46 | Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on April 13? | BUY | 0.984 | $4.91 |
| 04-10 14:43 | Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on April 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.89 |
| 04-10 14:42 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $43.00 |
| 03-12 11:07 | Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $64.73 |
| 03-12 11:06 | Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $61.58 |