itsveryhot
0xdc4df0d3c74c87a224533b6666f8d7a7958250b1
- Realised P&L
- $-10.60
- Volume
- $13.1k
- Markets traded
- 759
- Open portfolio
- $30.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded759
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.70at 0.590Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on June 1?
- +$24.21at 0.670Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 3?
- +$22.98at 0.692Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 29?
- +$21.77at 0.590Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 5?
- +$18.31at 0.653Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 21:30 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.5799998144 | $3.00 |
| 08-05 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.6599999534 | $3.40 |
| 08-05 09:30 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.6299999782 | $9.24 |
| 08-04 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.4599999233 | $2.40 |
| 08-04 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5499999325 | $2.85 |
| 08-04 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.6899999808 | $3.60 |
| 08-04 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.99 | $6.93 |
| 08-04 09:30 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5499999325 | $2.85 |
| 08-04 08:30 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5899999543 | $3.10 |
| 08-04 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.99 | $10.89 |
| 08-04 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.6199999847 | $3.25 |
| 08-03 20:30 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.991 | $8.92 |
| 08-03 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.996 | $14.54 |
| 08-03 15:30 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.5699999434 | $4.13 |
| 08-03 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.669999822 | $3.50 |