lovecraft-225
0xdc4d0d641585e4a4bcacea9ce3a3ac38ca05f2c9
- Realised P&L
- $-94.37
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $106.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.64at 0.430Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
- +$11.56at 0.869U.S. citizens transferred to El Salvador before July?
- +$8.57at 0.650Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
- +$7.67at 0.750Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?
- +$6.29at 0.830Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 01:38 | Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.17 |
| 07-21 01:37 | Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 01:37 | Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 01:37 | Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.8789998378 | $2.00 |
| 07-21 01:35 | Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 01:35 | Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 01:35 | Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.8799995072 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 01:34 | Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $2.00 |
| 07-21 01:34 | Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 01:34 | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.8699992344 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 01:33 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 07-21 01:31 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999061 | $3.00 |
| 06-04 22:26 | Chud the Builder convicted? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.01 |
| 05-21 21:28 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999019 | $1.57 |
| 05-07 02:19 | Nothing Ever Happens: May | BUY | 0.7199999007 | $1.45 |