morehappyhappyhappy
0xdc1677006200573e7543ab3dc438e51812487d64
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $48.5k
- Markets traded
- 132
- Open portfolio
- $224.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded132
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles · Los Angeles Angels | 0.360 | 0.365 | $146.00 | +$2.00 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · No | 0.980 | 0.976 | $78.04 | −$0.36 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02? · No | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$158.00 |
| Lakers vs. Rockets · Rockets | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$277.11 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins · Miami Marlins | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.00 |
| Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-10? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
| Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakia · Slovakia | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 · Gen.G | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$354.83 |
| Grizzlies vs. Hornets · Grizzlies | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.50 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.838 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.52 |
| Kings vs. Raptors · Raptors | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$259.98 |
| Lakers vs. Pacers · Pacers | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$119.00 |
| Nets vs. Pistons · Pistons | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$338.20 |
| New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals · Kansas City Royals | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$92.00 |
| Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-02? · No | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$158.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$870.00at 0.130Pacers vs. Magic
- +$711.00at 0.210Canucks vs. Avalanche
- +$210.00at 0.300Magic vs. Wizards
- +$198.00at 0.340Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper
- +$126.00at 0.370Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 13:05 | Istanbul 2: Gijs Brouwer vs Yanki Erel | BUY | 0.76 | $266.00 |
| 08-06 12:16 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.36 | $144.00 |
| 08-06 11:58 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.98 | $78.40 |
| 08-04 13:47 | Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper | BUY | 0.34 | $102.00 |
| 08-02 08:36 | LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | BUY | 0.81 | $202.49 |
| 08-01 09:13 | UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.74 | $111.00 |
| 07-25 08:40 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | BUY | 0.67 | $167.49 |
| 07-22 12:58 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | BUY | 0.86 | $129.00 |
| 07-19 13:38 | US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $48.46 |
| 07-19 13:37 | US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.978 | $0.51 |
| 07-18 08:52 | LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.75 | $225.00 |
| 07-16 12:37 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.59 | $59.00 |
| 07-13 13:06 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.6 | $120.00 |
| 07-11 14:20 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.58 | $58.00 |
| 07-06 13:44 | Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31? | BUY | 0.034 | $3.40 |