PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

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Traders

pollybott

0xdbc45db6ba0618e6182109854e8d19a77b4f4347

Realised P&L
$316.36
Volume
$396.7k
Markets traded
895
Open portfolio
$722.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded895
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7740.825$231.44+$14.36
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.009$213.56$12.54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No0.5970.599$62.77+$0.24
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1220.117$39.96$2.08
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? · No0.9400.945$24.13+$0.13
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.6000.590$23.60$0.40
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? · Yes0.0230.028$19.91+$3.75
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? · Yes0.2010.115$17.97$13.41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · Yes0.0440.032$14.29$5.60
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.0950.105$12.17+$1.15
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9200.925$12.07+$0.07
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.6250.725$8.25+$1.14
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8730.931$8.14+$0.51
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? · Yes0.0320.032$7.26$0.15
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.9600.997$5.63+$0.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 19:13US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?SELL0.626$3.82
08-04 18:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?SELL0.043$0.93
08-04 18:29US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.589999931$2.31
08-04 18:28US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.5939999984$11.66
08-04 18:26US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.6269999828$9.88
08-04 18:21US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.6129999205$1.79
08-04 18:21US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.6149998901$1.79
08-04 18:13US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.6069999874$7.37
08-04 18:12US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.6089999798$7.37
08-04 18:02US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.5779999985$12.00
08-04 18:02US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.5779999985$12.00
08-04 17:41Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.6$12.00
08-04 17:41Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.6$12.00
08-04 16:16Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9?BUY0.022999978$1.01
08-04 16:16Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9?BUY0.022999978$1.01