XA8A6
0xdb860dac2f7d64b98b1ad344c291d31ff18e5ccd
- Realised P&L
- $14.32
- Volume
- $19.9k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $5.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.81at 0.922Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
- +$5.04at 0.410Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
- +$3.77at 0.992Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
- +$3.71at 0.610Will XRP reach $1.40 in April?
- +$2.97at 0.669US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 09:11 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in August? | BUY | 0.8899999639 | $2.22 |
| 08-01 07:29 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.8099999874 | $2.58 |
| 07-10 16:01 | Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 06-29 21:26 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.00 |
| 06-29 20:42 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.7199999877 | $7.00 |
| 06-22 16:40 | Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.9 | $3.71 |
| 06-13 17:10 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting? | BUY | 0.9299999895 | $4.44 |
| 06-13 16:39 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.1699999139 | $1.50 |
| 06-04 17:36 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? | BUY | 0.984 | $4.80 |
| 06-04 17:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9829999335 | $7.41 |
| 05-28 12:20 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.9569999994 | $9.85 |
| 05-21 15:51 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21? | BUY | 0.9859999984 | $6.08 |
| 05-13 17:38 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 15? | BUY | 0.9699999969 | $6.25 |
| 05-06 06:25 | Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 05-06 06:25 | Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? | BUY | 0.2799998473 | $1.10 |