Unbotheredking
0xdb493ef05892a8ba554f37f1005674ffce58c150
- Realised P&L
- $-149.48
- Volume
- $21.4k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $139.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$107.05at 0.936Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 17, 2026?
- +$85.06at 0.267Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?
- +$78.20at 0.243Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
- +$70.72at 0.220Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20?
- +$46.15at 0.854Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:46 | Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 19:17 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 07-27 19:16 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 07-27 19:12 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |
| 07-27 19:12 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |
| 07-27 19:12 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 14:20 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 14:01 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 15:56 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.1820438576 | $15.65 |
| 07-23 15:55 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 07-23 15:55 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1226414902 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 15:54 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1209009726 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 15:54 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? | SELL | 0.33 | $60.25 |
| 07-23 15:53 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 16:48 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting? | SELL | 0.0204479257 | $5.42 |