Polly-H
0xdb07f0b7aed5e923ce688eb0f047750499b0fb0a
- Realised P&L
- $-120.65
- Volume
- $8.0k
- Markets traded
- 909
- Open portfolio
- $37.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded909
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.05at 0.395Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
- +$5.80at 0.420Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
- +$5.70at 0.430Solana Up or Down - May 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
- +$5.65at 0.435Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
- +$5.55at 0.445Solana Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 05:24 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 08-08 05:24 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 08-08 05:24 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 08-08 05:24 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 08-08 05:24 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 08-08 05:24 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 08-08 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.97 | $2.91 |
| 08-08 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.80 |
| 08-08 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.57 | $1.71 |
| 08-08 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.85 |
| 08-08 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.94 |
| 07-29 11:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | SELL | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 07-29 11:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | SELL | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 07-29 11:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | SELL | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 07-29 11:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |