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Polly-H

0xdb07f0b7aed5e923ce688eb0f047750499b0fb0a

Realised P&L
$-120.65
Volume
$8.0k
Markets traded
909
Open portfolio
$37.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded909
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 05:24Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 10?BUY0.98$4.90
08-08 05:24Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 10?BUY0.85$4.25
08-08 05:24Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 10?BUY0.72$3.60
08-08 05:24Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 10?BUY0.73$3.65
08-08 05:24Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on August 10?BUY0.97$4.85
08-08 05:24Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 10?BUY0.98$4.90
08-08 04:52Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 10?BUY0.97$2.91
08-08 04:52Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 10?BUY0.6$1.80
08-08 04:52Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 10?BUY0.57$1.71
08-08 04:52Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 10?BUY0.95$2.85
08-08 04:52Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 10?BUY0.98$2.94
07-29 11:35Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETSELL0.36$1.80
07-29 11:30Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETSELL0.37$1.85
07-29 11:25Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETSELL0.3$1.50
07-29 11:04Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETBUY0.46$2.30
Trader Polly-H · PolyBot