Dimas99
0xdafb5a1a4ee6b8de9bc2e89f62bde07a6c6edc2a
- Realised P&L
- $-199.44
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $15.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.020 | $13.87 | −$19.13 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.065 | $1.67 | −$8.33 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.60 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by October 31? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.81 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor · Tate | 0.863 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$84.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.91at 0.870Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
- +$2.65at 0.250Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
- +$0.87at 0.920Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?
- +$0.30at 0.770No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-19 13:16 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.0475931564 | $33.00 |
| 01-13 08:56 | Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.60 |
| 01-11 14:37 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 01-11 14:37 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 01-11 14:36 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 12-24 12:02 | Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31? | SELL | 0.316375 | $12.66 |
| 12-20 11:16 | Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor | BUY | 0.8634661426 | $84.30 |
| 12-20 03:20 | Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | BUY | 0.8699999993 | $73.00 |
| 12-19 09:59 | Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31? | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $10.00 |
| 12-19 09:54 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 12-19 09:18 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28? | BUY | 0.72 | $20.00 |
| 12-17 10:26 | Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 12-17 07:34 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 14:00 | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by October 31? | BUY | 0.04975 | $19.90 |
| 10-25 13:19 | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by October 31? | BUY | 0.0691942262 | $33.81 |