ORVEXE
0xda98574586ab9b83ab0d452e014aff464091836a
- Realised P&L
- $-79.53
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 263
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded263
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 2? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 2? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on August 2? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 2? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.67at 0.300Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 30?
- +$5.87at 0.460Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
- +$4.26at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
- +$4.24at 0.530Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
- +$4.19at 0.413Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 16:35 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 6? | SELL | 0.68 | $3.16 |
| 08-06 05:35 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 09:16 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 5? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.79 |
| 08-04 22:53 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 22:53 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 22:51 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 15:14 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.93 | $2.33 |
| 08-04 15:14 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.93 | $1.82 |
| 08-03 22:43 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 22:42 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 15:55 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 16:55 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 16:53 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 16:51 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 16:49 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |