apollooo
0xd9dbbc012361f9676738cb2f4af3b4689eadb182
- Realised P&L
- $19.22
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 238
- Open portfolio
- $89.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded238
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration2.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.31at 0.019Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
- +$11.20at 0.253Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on March 16?
- +$10.99at 0.369Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 23?
- +$9.66at 0.034Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
- +$6.34at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on April 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 16:50 | Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 07-04 16:50 | Will Egypt be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.0929999084 | $1.01 |
| 07-04 16:13 | Will Egypt be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.0850150978 | $1.01 |
| 07-04 16:13 | Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 07-04 16:13 | Will Egypt be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.0850150978 | $1.01 |
| 07-04 16:13 | Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 05-08 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 8? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 05-08 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 8? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.04 |
| 05-08 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or higher on May 8? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 05-08 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 8? | BUY | 0.046 | $0.46 |
| 05-01 00:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on May 1? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.05 |
| 05-01 00:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 1? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.14 |
| 05-01 00:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 1? | BUY | 0.034 | $0.32 |
| 05-01 00:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 1? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 04-23 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on April 23? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.00 |