sheba762steven
0xd9ae0cf908966648bc794e26002fb9a3df543d5c
- Realised P&L
- $12.44
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $2.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.76at 0.380Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.17at 0.931Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?
- +$0.85at 0.640Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$0.74at 0.800Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
- +$0.55at 0.920Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 22:45 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.957 | $54.55 |
| 06-23 13:22 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $50.60 |
| 06-23 09:59 | Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $59.20 |
| 06-22 20:27 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $31.92 |
| 05-27 08:48 | Will Alberta join the US? | SELL | 0.045 | $0.18 |
| 05-26 21:45 | Will Alberta join the US? | SELL | 0.044 | $3.30 |
| 05-26 18:39 | Will Alberta join the US? | BUY | 0.041 | $5.41 |
| 05-26 10:04 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.859 | $59.27 |
| 05-26 04:28 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | SELL | 0.043 | $5.59 |
| 05-26 03:22 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | BUY | 0.045 | $5.85 |
| 05-25 05:36 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31? | SELL | 0.018 | $1.15 |
| 05-25 00:49 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31? | BUY | 0.037 | $2.37 |
| 05-24 18:06 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $42.88 |
| 05-23 22:22 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $8.75 |
| 05-23 19:47 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $61.50 |