PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

lotem

0xd963f16196d6c7021835ac99347cea952b7347a1

Realised P&L
$-162.92
Volume
$59.4k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$181.54

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8200.945$115.24+$15.24
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.5480.075$29.01$182.99
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0070.004$14.10$8.90
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? · Yes0.7701.000$10.39+$2.39
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2620.075$10.02$24.98
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0080.002$1.87$8.13
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0260.024$0.90$0.10
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.5660.000$0.00$35.00
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? · No0.1260.000$0.00$20.00
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? · Yes0.2680.000$0.00$20.00
Will the US strike Syria next? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$3.00
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$10.00
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$10.00
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-23 09:30Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?BUY0.7699998691$5.00
05-23 09:28Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?BUY0.7699998614$3.00
05-08 06:18Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?BUY0.0682660363$10.00
05-08 06:16Iran closes its airspace by May 8?BUY0.0329999684$1.00
05-08 06:15Iran closes its airspace by May 15?BUY0.179999987$10.00
05-07 19:26Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0042841475$5.00
05-07 19:26Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0080096187$10.00
05-07 19:25Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.004$5.00
05-07 19:24Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?SELL0.93$48.95
05-04 21:18Iran closes its airspace by May 31?BUY0.5659574422$35.00
04-08 18:16Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0235574475$10.00
04-08 18:15Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.25$20.00
03-19 08:59Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0102919231$3.00
03-19 08:58Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2799999895$15.00
03-19 08:56Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.8199999938$100.00