lotem
0xd963f16196d6c7021835ac99347cea952b7347a1
- Realised P&L
- $-162.92
- Volume
- $59.4k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $181.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$136.86at 0.430Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$49.03at 0.620Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?
- +$9.59at 0.610Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
- +$8.95at 0.760Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
- +$7.48at 0.567Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-23 09:30 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | BUY | 0.7699998691 | $5.00 |
| 05-23 09:28 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | BUY | 0.7699998614 | $3.00 |
| 05-08 06:18 | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | BUY | 0.0682660363 | $10.00 |
| 05-08 06:16 | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY | 0.0329999684 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 06:15 | Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 05-07 19:26 | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0042841475 | $5.00 |
| 05-07 19:26 | Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0080096187 | $10.00 |
| 05-07 19:25 | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.00 |
| 05-07 19:24 | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | SELL | 0.93 | $48.95 |
| 05-04 21:18 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.5659574422 | $35.00 |
| 04-08 18:16 | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0235574475 | $10.00 |
| 04-08 18:15 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 03-19 08:59 | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0102919231 | $3.00 |
| 03-19 08:58 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2799999895 | $15.00 |
| 03-19 08:56 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.8199999938 | $100.00 |