Verne
0xd94e1a1c65f46f78567d5000bbb94ffd597c7fdd
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $28.7k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $1.3k | −$0.66 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 6? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $968.48 | +$0.48 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 5? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $261.52 | +$0.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.43at 0.984Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?
- +$1.82at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
- +$0.96at 0.997Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 1?
- +$0.56at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on August 1?
- +$0.55at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 07:53 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $261.00 |
| 08-05 07:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.3k |
| 08-05 07:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $968.00 |
| 08-01 07:51 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on August 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $558.00 |
| 08-01 07:51 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 1? | BUY | 0.997 | $319.00 |
| 08-01 07:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $444.00 |
| 07-29 08:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $545.00 |
| 07-29 08:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.9989999593 | $24.00 |
| 07-29 08:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.9949999956 | $100.00 |
| 07-29 08:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.9835546167 | $265.00 |
| 07-29 08:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $465.00 |
| 05-16 14:38 | Will Solana reach $300 in May? | BUY | 0.993 | $45.82 |
| 05-16 14:38 | Will Ethereum reach $6000 in May? | BUY | 0.9979999916 | $61.00 |
| 05-16 14:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $200.00 |
| 04-17 17:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $200k in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $90.47 |