0xD94D74F0cf610e2191cf3324bffEb31F8D2fe6CF-1761084790185
0xd94d74f0cf610e2191cf3324bffeb31f8d2fe6cf
- Realised P&L
- $685.41
- Volume
- $53.7k
- Markets traded
- 239
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded239
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$185.72at 0.730Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$143.33at 0.855Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?
- +$110.13at 0.865Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
- +$83.13at 0.910Will Trump visit China by May 31?
- +$70.21at 0.940Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 19:51 | Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage | BUY | 0.1099999685 | $3.00 |
| 08-05 19:20 | Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 08-05 19:19 | Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.0129999958 | $3.00 |
| 08-05 19:17 | Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Liquid (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs | BUY | 0.5974786401 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 19:11 | Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 18:24 | Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5973072193 | $8.00 |
| 08-05 15:30 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.7430769981 | $6.00 |
| 08-05 05:31 | Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.0292066311 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 05:30 | Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 05:30 | Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 05:30 | Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 17:18 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999932 | $28.00 |
| 08-04 17:17 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.967934663 | $318.00 |
| 08-02 17:04 | Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs OG - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.649999987 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 14:16 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winner | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $20.00 |