ingup
0xd8f073a61d5cc7f06e4a291d3871b9334d6d6d63
- Realised P&L
- $-57.78
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $50.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 10? · No | 0.998 | 0.994 | $50.27 | −$0.23 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? · No | 0.835 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.06 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.68 |
| Will Armenia win on 2026-06-06? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.16 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Down | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.09at 0.800Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?
- +$4.09at 0.880Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
- +$4.06at 0.860Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?
- +$2.55at 0.890Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?
- +$1.80at 0.246Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 11:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.50 |
| 08-01 09:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.50 |
| 07-28 11:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.40 |
| 07-21 11:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on July 27? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.30 |
| 07-15 12:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.00 |
| 07-07 11:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on July 13? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $49.90 |
| 07-02 11:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 06-25 04:40 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.8349999991 | $36.06 |
| 06-23 10:18 | Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.96 | $34.80 |
| 06-22 02:44 | Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.8799999988 | $30.00 |
| 06-20 12:11 | Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.9689999996 | $29.90 |
| 06-19 07:24 | Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.9669999995 | $28.90 |
| 06-18 11:18 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.8599999986 | $24.91 |
| 06-17 11:19 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.9299999996 | $23.28 |
| 06-16 12:45 | Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.889999968 | $20.60 |