PolyBot

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0xd8f073a61d5cc7f06e4a291d3871b9334d6d6d63

Realised P&L
$-57.78
Volume
$4.3k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$50.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 10? · No0.9980.994$50.27$0.23
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? · No0.8350.000$0.00$36.06
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$7.68
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-06? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$30.16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Down0.7000.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 11:45Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 10?BUY0.998$50.50
08-01 09:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 5?BUY0.999$50.50
07-28 11:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on July 31?BUY0.999$50.40
07-21 11:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on July 27?BUY0.998$50.30
07-15 12:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 20?BUY0.998$50.00
07-07 11:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on July 13?BUY0.9939999999$49.90
07-02 11:46Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 6?BUY0.998$49.90
06-25 04:40Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.8349999991$36.06
06-23 10:18Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.96$34.80
06-22 02:44Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.8799999988$30.00
06-20 12:11Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.9689999996$29.90
06-19 07:24Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.9669999995$28.90
06-18 11:18Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.8599999986$24.91
06-17 11:19Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.9299999996$23.28
06-16 12:45Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.889999968$20.60