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Traders

ikarotwo

0xd8a386091a1b03693fc7d4b485716a3aff136034

Realised P&L
$-15.72
Volume
$20.7k
Markets traded
741
Open portfolio
$41.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded741
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 22:56Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 6?SELL0.992$14.88
08-06 19:18Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 6?SELL0.99$4.95
08-06 16:41Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 6?SELL0.999$5.00
08-06 16:32Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6?SELL0.999$19.61
08-06 15:54Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6?SELL0.99$0.35
08-06 13:57Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 6?SELL0.999$5.00
08-06 13:57Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6?SELL0.999$5.00
08-06 13:57Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 6?SELL0.999$19.98
08-06 13:57Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 6?SELL0.998$14.97
08-05 15:48Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 5?SELL0.03$0.20
08-05 15:48Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 5?SELL0.04$0.20
08-05 15:46Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 5?SELL0.03$0.13
08-05 15:46Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 6?SELL0.02$0.10
08-05 15:46Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 5?SELL0.02$0.10
07-20 13:52Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETBUY0.12$1.08