eltormentas
0xd83485d5314faef5bb49fd917ecc6bccfc3b1d87
- Realised P&L
- $-400.58
- Volume
- $64.8k
- Markets traded
- 267
- Open portfolio
- $26.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded267
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$139.74at 0.223Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?
- +$81.89at 0.107Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 9?
- +$59.47at 0.224Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 3?
- +$58.13at 0.244Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?
- +$55.21at 0.098Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 04:27 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3339881952 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4799999309 | $2.50 |
| 08-08 03:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.118226591 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4099999688 | $2.50 |
| 08-07 03:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4125736537 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 07:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4299999381 | $2.50 |
| 08-06 03:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4642166239 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0596951514 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.9756669944 | $29.77 |
| 08-05 03:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3277060411 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1819923088 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 04:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2757352792 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 01:47 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0979210145 | $10.00 |