324545654
0xd818d256e8948321af21d5d383f3b0bfb9eba964
- Realised P&L
- $184.60
- Volume
- $30.4k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $142.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $142.91 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$199.16at 0.480Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
- +$10.29at 0.947Seahawks vs. Patriots
- +$2.40at 0.017Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?
- +$0.86at 0.994Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?
- +$0.58at 0.985Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.9980926413 | $143.00 |
| 07-02 10:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $143.00 |
| 06-15 11:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? | BUY | 0.9939999989 | $142.00 |
| 06-11 12:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? | SELL | 0.989 | $142.57 |
| 06-08 10:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9849999967 | $142.00 |
| 05-25 13:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $140.00 |
| 05-19 11:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 18-24? | BUY | 0.999 | $141.00 |
| 05-04 01:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $140.80 |
| 04-16 12:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $142.85 |
| 04-16 11:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.955 | $142.29 |
| 04-12 11:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.959 | $130.10 |
| 04-12 10:58 | Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.988 | $98.80 |
| 04-03 10:41 | Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 03-25 00:52 | Spread: Nuggets (-5.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $183.84 |
| 03-25 00:32 | Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.987 | $98.70 |