0xD7f387a38DfaE581076bc95f4B213dff9E6d63EE-1781316494225
0xd7f387a38dfae581076bc95f4b213dff9e6d63ee
- Realised P&L
- $297.60
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $8.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season · Fnatic | 0.143 | 0.115 | $8.06 | −$1.94 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.20 |
| Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? · Yes | 0.272 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs · T1 | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.00 |
| Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will France vs. England end in a draw? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.33at 0.240LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In
- +$54.00at 0.460Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$50.83at 0.780Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
- +$39.00at 0.200Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$37.84at 0.731Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 03:41 | LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.1426831937 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 03:39 | LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | SELL | 0.51 | $22.66 |
| 08-05 23:36 | LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | BUY | 0.4499999921 | $20.00 |
| 08-05 23:35 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | BUY | 0.6499999987 | $25.00 |
| 08-03 23:49 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | BUY | 0.4199999933 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 23:47 | LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier | BUY | 0.3599999921 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 21:00 | Will France vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2199999936 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 20:18 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2724999916 | $20.00 |
| 07-14 22:31 | LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B | SELL | 0.85 | $98.83 |
| 07-14 19:22 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | SELL | 0.5475 | $72.40 |
| 07-14 18:55 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.3024999969 | $40.00 |
| 07-14 17:57 | LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 17:47 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.226 | $67.80 |
| 07-12 11:39 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | SELL | 0.92 | $47.18 |
| 07-12 02:50 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | SELL | 0.285 | $35.96 |