fteop
0xd78651c7f63ab3b24169db1d82abd33366f8215a
- Realised P&L
- $-12.30
- Volume
- $116.9k
- Markets traded
- 261
- Open portfolio
- $34.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded261
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 10? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.999 | $19.97 | −$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 11? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.996 | $9.96 | −$0.02 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 12? · Yes | 0.996 | 0.993 | $4.96 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.12at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $90,000 on May 12?
- +$0.07at 0.985Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$0.06at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $90,000 on May 11?
- +$0.06at 0.989Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 21?
- +$0.06at 0.989Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 09:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 12? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.98 |
| 08-09 09:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 08-09 09:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-02 05:04 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 05:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 08-02 05:04 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 07-24 09:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 07-24 09:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on July 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 09:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on July 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 09:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 09:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 09:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on July 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 09:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 09:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 09:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |